Thursday, April 4, 2013

Angels vs Reds - April 4th Simulation Results


Here are the simulation results for the April 4th game between the Angels and the Reds.

Angels vs Reds
Joe Blanton vs Bronson Arroyo

Simulation Results Notes:
Angels win expectancy: 50.56%
Angels on average score 4.40 runs
Reds on average score 4.16 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 8.56

Starting Pitching Lines:
Joe Blanton - 6.0ip, 5.7so, 1.5bb, 6.1hits, 1.1hrs, 94pitches, 4.410fip
Bronson Arroyo - 6.0ip, 4.3so, 1.2bb, 6.8hits, 1.1hrs, 92pitches, 4.691fip

Angels player most likely to hit a HR: Josh Hamilton
Reds player most likely to hit a HR: Jay Bruce

Angels hitter most strikeouts: Josh Hamilton (1.1 times)
Reds hitter most strikeouts: Chris Heisey (1.1 times)

Angels hitter most walks: Chris Iannetta (0.366 times)
Reds hitter most walks: Joey Votto (0.606 times)

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Angels win expectancy: 48.31%
Over/Under: 8.5 o105, u-125

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Reds 4-3
2. Reds 3-2
3. Reds 5-4
4. Angels 3-2
5. Angels 4-3
6. Reds 2-1
7. Angels 4-2
8. Angels 5-4
9. Reds 6-5
10. Reds 4-2
11. Angels 5-3
12. Reds 5-3
13. Angels 3-1
14. Angels 5-2
15. Angels 2-1
16. Angels 4-1
17. Reds 3-1
18. Reds 5-2
19. Angels 6-3
20. Angels 6-4
.
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100. Angels 11-2
 

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