Friday, April 5, 2013

Angels vs Rangers - April 5th Simulation Results



Here are the simulation results for the April 5th game between the Angels and the Rangers.

Angels (1-2) vs Rangers (2-1)
Jason Vargas vs Derek Holland

Record: 1-2 (0.333)
RS: 11
RA: 11
Pythag Win%: 0.500
Pythag Pace: 81- 81
Pythag Record: 1.5 - 1.5
Record As Favorites: 0-1
Record As Underdogs:  1-1

Simulation Results Notes:
Angels win expectancy is  51.73%
Angels on average score 5.72 runs
Rangers on average score 5.23  runs
Total Runs scored on average: 10.95

Starting Pitching Lines:
Jason Vargas - 5.4ip, 3.3so, 1.8bb, 6.7hits, 1.07hrs, 88pitches,  5.554fip
Derek Holland - 5.4ip, 5.1so, 1.9bb, 6.3hits, 1.15hrs, 90pitches,  5.097fip

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Angels win expectancy:  47.28%
Over/Under: 10.0 -110o +100u
Notes: This looks like a high scoring game.

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Rangers 5-4
2. Rangers 4-3
3. Rangers 6-5
4. Rangers 3-2
5. Angels 5-4
6. Angels 4-3
7. Rangers 7-6
8. Angels 6-5
9.  Angels 5-3
10. Rangers 5-3
11. Angels 6-4
12. Angels 3-2
13. Rangers 6-4
14. Rangers 4-2
15. Angels 4-2
16. Angels 6-3
17. Angels 7-6
18. Rangers 8-7
19. Angels 7-5
20. Rangers 6-3
.
.
100. Angels 11-2

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